Use the following modeling tools to estimate the potential damage and effects of a nuclear detonation, including fallout patterns. Strategic targets should be the focus of your assessment (military bases, maritime ports, and strategic infrastructure such as hydroelectric dams, oil refineries, etc.).
NUKEMAP – https://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/
The following two nuclear strike models were based on the following criteria:
- Location: Spokane,WA (Nuclear War Map) and Fairchild Airforce Base (NUKEMAP)
- Size: 800kt (Russian SS-25 Topol ‘Sicle’ in NUKEMAP)
- Burst: Ground (air bursts produce very low radiation fallout, comparatively)
- Results:
- Estimated fatalities: 5,560
- Estimated injuries: 8,510
- Estimated total-dose fallout contours for a 800 kiloton surface burst (50% fission) with a 15 mph wind: ▼
- Fallout contour for 1 rads per hour: Maximum downwind cloud distance: 358 km Maximum width: 79.6 km
- Fallout contour for 10 rads per hour: Maximum downwind cloud distance: 255 km Maximum width: 53.7 km
- Fallout contour for 100 rads per hour: Maximum downwind cloud distance: 153 km Maximum width: 27.9 km
- Fallout contour for 1,000 rads per hour: Maximum downwind cloud distance: 51.4 km Maximum width: 2.02 km
Nuclear War Map – https://www.nuclearwarmap.com/
Choose from a total (nationwide) nuclear attack, or an individual city location
The following two nuclear strike models were based on the following criteria:
- Location: Spokane,WA (Nuclear War Map)
- Size: 800kt
- Burst: Ground (air bursts produce very low radiation fallout, comparatively)
- Results:
- distance ground zero: casualties
- 1.26 miles: 100% fatalities
- 2.64 miles: 100% injuries/fatalities
- 9.46 miles: extensive injuries/fatalities
- deadly falllout 239.23 by 54.56 miles
Determine prevailing winds and other meteorological data which could impact fallout patterns, and you.
Ventusky Meteorological Modeling tool – https://www.ventusky.com/
- Determine prevailing (and current) wind patterns for your local and regional area
- Additional data is available, such as wind gusts, snow levels, humidity, temperature, etc.
WINDY Meteorological Modeling tool – https://www.windy.com/?hrrrConus,33.523,-86.803,5
- Determine prevailing (and current) wind patterns for your local and regional area
- Additional data is available, such as wind gusts, snow levels, humidity, temperature, etc.
- Identify airports and web cameras
These are some great tools. Because of the fires we get in this area, I use the wind simulations and IR satellite data a lot during fire season, which now seems to be most of year.
For those in California, these web cams are very helpful.
https://alertca.live/
This covers a bigger area. https://www.alertwildfire.org/
That and https://www.flightradar24.com/ Give me more eyes and what is going on around me. Of course if the internet is gone. They won’t help me much. LOL
Why are you using the older “REM” units of radiation exposure. The standard is now Sievert.
All modern instruments, national and international standards use sieverts.
I was trained and actually designed fallout shelters for the US Government and Civil Defense during the Cold War using the RAD and REM but it’s time to move on since the standard is now the sievert.
In short, I don’t think my measuring equipment knows that. I refer to the units of measurement that my equipment reports (Roentgens). I can’t speak for others, but the equipment we have does not measure in sieverts, and I have not seen a sieverts-based chart indicating safe/danger levels, nor have I seen radiation decay charts in sieverts. I’m sure they [charts] come with the modern equipment you’re eluding to. The bottom line is that the equipment we use are clear on what is safe, what is dangerous, and for how long. Always willing to learn more and upgrade as needed, and as the budget allows.
Here is one for sieverts. https://www.nea.gov.sg/our-services/radiation-safety/understanding-radiation/health-effects-of-ionising-radiation-on-people
Here is another with rems as well.
https://www.cdc.gov/nceh/radiation/emergencies/radiationthermometertext.htm#print
Excellent. Thanks! So it’s a simple factor of ten conversion. Good to print out and keep in the monitoring/detection kit.