As of the date of this posting (11 Dec 2021 @ 18:30 Pacific) AmRRON is raising the communications readiness level to AmCON-3. Numerous intelligence analyses indicate a high probability that Russia will conduct open combat operations against Ukraine. Analysts are generally in agreement that war could break out within the next 30 days, and possibly much sooner.
GPS disruptions and jamming are already being reported in the region (see below). It is expected that widespread cyber attacks will take place against NATO countries to disrupt command & control operations, which would likely emphasize internet and telecommunications, as well as potential power grid attacks.
As an emergency communications network for disasters and civil defense, we urge all of our operators to prepare to support information sharing in order to support each other and our communities. AmRRON members are urged to take the following actions:
- Update software and conduct ops checks of your equipment
- Store any unused electronics in faraday protection unless performing checks and maintenance or training
- Inspect and ops-check alternate power sources and charge batteries
- Participate in scheduled practice nets
- Update your phone tree and local/community communications plan
- Make contact with your local communications network and conduct a communications test net
- Make a follow-up contact with local community leadership to discuss how you might support them in a communications blackout situation (this should consist of leaders — pastors, patriot elected officials, and other influential community leaders — which you have previously built a working relationship with)
- Review the Signals Operating Instructions and familiarize yourself with filling out STATREPs (full and abbreviated), SITREPs, SPOTREPs, etc.
- Continue to follow AmRRON.com for additional guidance, information, etc.
Below is an excerpt at the Tactical-Wisdom blog, maintained by an AmRRON Corps operator. The article is based on his research and provides an excellent overview of the situation in Ukraine, and the history of what has led up to this current situation.
The Truth About The Ukraine 12/09/21
But what does this mean for preparedness? Well, it means that you need to be ready within the next 30 days (75 days max) for a European land war. Russia has demanded that the EU and NATO rescind their membership offers to Ukraine, in compliance with their prior treaty, and Joe Biden has demanded that Russia withdraw from Crimea.
Neither of those things is going to happen. Russia has amassed a massive force on the border. Just days ago, field hospital units and air-medical transports arrived in the area. Those would not be needed for training. The OSCE is reporting GPS and radio jamming, and Russian tanks appear to have been modified for combat operations.
So far, Sweden (of all places) and the UK have already committed actual troops to defend the Ukraine. It is likely that Poland and the Baltic States would also. This would expand the front, because Belarus, as a Russian client-state, would likely interdict Baltic troop deployments, and you would soon have fighting from the Black Sea to the Baltic Sea.
For us, first, this would mean potential cyber-attacks on our grid and communication systems to prevent the US from supporting the Ukrainian side. While Russia would not likely directly attack our forces, hacking would be widespread.
You need to have alternate communications plans in place now. Understand that grid or communications disruptions also mean that you likely can’t get gas out of underground tanks and if you can, you likely can’t use your debit card to pay, so keep your cars full and carry a little extra cash.
Read the full article at: The Truth About The Ukraine
OSCE Special Monitoring Mission to Ukraine (SMM) Daily Report 290/2021 issued on 10 December 2021
10 December 2021
Based on information from the Monitoring Teams as of 19:30 9 December 2021. All times are in Eastern European Time.
- In Donetsk region, the SMM recorded 1,463 ceasefire violations, including 142 explosions. In the previous reporting period, it recorded 815 ceasefire violations in the region.
- In Luhansk region, the Mission recorded 161 ceasefire violations, including 97 explosions. In the previous reporting period, it recorded 32 ceasefire violations in the region.
- Members of the armed formations denied the SMM passage near Zolote and Molodizhne, Luhansk region, and delayed its passage for more than two hours near Olenivka, Donetsk region.*
- The Mission continued monitoring the disengagement areas near Stanytsia Luhanska, Zolote and Petrivske.
- The SMM facilitated and monitored the operation of and repairs to critical civilian infrastructure.
- The Mission continued following up on the situation of civilians, including at three entry-exit checkpoints and the corresponding checkpoints of the armed formations in Luhansk region.
- The Mission’s freedom of movement continued to be restricted, including at two checkpoints of the armed formations in Donetsk region. Its unmanned aerial vehicles encountered instances of GPS signal interference, assessed as caused by probable jamming.
Read the full report at: Special Monitoring Mission to Ukraine Daily Report 10 December 2021
From the Forward Observer intelligence service, 12/10/21:
Prepare for war with Russia, China
Max (China) and Dustin (Russia) have also provided their timelines for when we can expect these things to happen.
In short, neither of these wars are going to remain “over there.”
And the risk of armed conflict is close enough that it’s no longer a matter of if but of when.
If these conflicts aren’t resolved under favorable conditions, there are substantial downside risks to the United States, including to the dollar.
And these geopolitical events, historically, have tended to cascade into much larger conflicts.
No one can afford to ignore these risks. We highlight what you need to know everyday through our Early Warning report.
If you’re not already, you should absolutely start preparing for the follow-on effects of armed conflict.
Starting last week, we at Forward Observer are publishing a Friday deep dive into how these conflicts are progressing and what they could look like.
We finish each report with our recommendations on how to get prepared for follow-on effects of “over there” wars.
In light of recent events, we’re adding a daily NATO-Russia SITREP to our daily Early Warning report due to the likelihood of conflict over the next 30 days. Yes, it’s that close.
If you’re still wondering what’s going to happen and how these conflicts will affect you, then you should sign up for our Early Warning service.
We have five full-time analysts looking at everything from Russia and China to the food supply and critical infrastructure, plus coverage of how domestic extremist groups are preparing for low intensity conflict here at home.
Our report is called Early Warning for a reason. We want to provide our subscribers with as much time as possible to prepare for future events.
You can read what our subscribers have to say about our work here: https://forwardobserver.com/subscribe